Bears control Bitcoin price, but traders say the $40K zone is still good ‘for longs’

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Traders faced another day of red markets on April 14 after the weakness in equities markets continued to put a damper on crypto prices. 

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after holding onto support above $41,000 in the early hours on Thursday, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) was slammed back below $40,000 in the afternoon session and hit a daily low of $39,550.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Here’s a look at what analysts are saying about the short-term outlook for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin needs to find support above $42,000

Bitcoin’s price action on the monthly chart was discussed by markets analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user ‘Rekt Capital’, who posted the following chart showing what happened when the $47,000 resistance level was rejected in September 2021.

BTC/USD 1-month chart. Source: Twitter

Similar to the current price action, the move in September also dropped to the blue support line at $41,300 “and also respected a green higher low.”

Rekt Captial said,

“As long as BTC performs a Monthly Close above blue, history may repeat.”

A similar outlook was expressed by crypto analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user ‘Decodejar’, who posted the following chart stating, “Bitcoin needs to find support above $42,000.”

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Twitter

Check for longs in the $40,000 zone

Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe sees the current price action for Bitcoin as “a pretty standard playing field here” based on the following chart posted on Twitter.

BTC/USD 2-hour chart. Source: Twitter

van de Poppe said,

“Looking at the $42,000 barrier to break first, that would be a trend break. Otherwise, the $40,000 zone is the area where I’d want to check for longs.”

Related: Bitcoin bulls need to reclaim $41K ahead of Friday’s $615M BTC options expiry

The possibility of a bullish uptrend

Insight into the long-term outlook for Bitcoin based on the percentage of supply held in profit was explored by analyst ‘On-Chain College’, who posted the following chart noting that the metric had “bounced off the ~62.5% level 3 times this year.”

Bitcoin price vs. percent of supply in profit. Source: Twitter

On-Chain College said,

“Currently, over 69% of the supply is in profit. Historically, when this metric hits the red zone (+95%) BTC is ‘overheated’ and the potential sell pressure is high.”

A second observation suggesting a bullish future for BTC was mentioned by crypto analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user ‘TAnalyst’, who posted the following chart analyzing the “Bitcoin choppiness index.”

BTC/USD vs. the Bitcoin choppiness index. Source: Twitter

TAnalyst said,

“For the 3rd time since 2015, we have reached the green zone. The last 2 times this occurred, a massive bullish uptrend followed. Probably nothing…”

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.857 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 40.9%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.


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