Bitcoin bounces off $30K amid ‘possibility’ of exit to mid-$40K range

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Bitcoin bounces off $30K amid 'possibility' of exit to mid-$40K range


Bitcoin (BTC) rose from a fresh $30,000 support challenge on June 27, continuing uncertain ranging which has worried traders.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin avoids sub-$30,000 “nuke”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting highs of $33,445 on Bitstamp Sunday.

Saturday saw the pair drop back to $30,070, ultimately averting another dip below significant psychological support after last week’s volatility.

This was not enough to buoy sentiment among traders, however, as many already believed the local BTC price bottom was not yet in.

For analyst Rekt Capital, the prospect of Bitcoin losing its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), currently at $33,500, was cause for concern for bulls.

“The BTC recovery is promising but the 50 WEMA hasn’t yet been reclaimed as support,” he told Twitter followers after Sunday’s move higher.

“Weekly Close above ~$33500 would be enough to save the 50 WEMA as a support.” 

At the time of writing, BTC/USD traded at around $32,400, leaving a fair amount of ground to cover to clinch a more optimistic start to the coming week.

Rekt Capital added that using Wyckoff analysis, Bitcoin could still bounce by $10,000 to end in the mid-$40,000 range if a current wedge holds without a breakdown.

BTC/USD Wyckoff distribution chart. Source: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

“Volatile but trending up”

As ever, longer-term outlooks from seasoned market participants showed a different world from the fraught intraday price activity. 

Related: ‘Bitcoin will go all the way to $160,000 this year,’ says Celsius CEO

Among the sources of feel-good analysis at the weekend was PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow price models.

“Bitcoin: short term volatile, long term trending up,” he summarized alongside a comparative chart of Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average (WMA) and realized cap.

BTC/USD, 200WMA and realized cap chart. Source: PlanB/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, the 200 WMA is a principal “line in the sand” that spot price has never crossed. It continues to increase each month despite recent losses.


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